AI Match Insights
Ligue 1 Jan 28, 2023
Estac Troyes
HomeVS
16:00
Lens
AwayAI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Estac Troyes Win
Draw
Lens Win
Away Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 39%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.57 - 0.88
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Estac Troyes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Lens Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (23%)
0-1 (21%)
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
Under 2.5 Goals
82%
Estac Troyes Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 02 | Estac Tro… vs Reims | 2-2 |
| Sep 09 | Estac Tro… vs Lens | 1-0 |
| Aug 19 | Estac Tro… vs Lyon | 4-1 |
| May 14 | Estac Tro… vs Lens | 1-3 |
| Apr 03 | Estac Tro… vs Reims | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Estac Tro… vs Lyon | 0-1 |
| Dec 18 | Estac Tro… vs Nancy | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Estac Tro… vs Lens | 4-0 |
| Oct 24 | Estac Tro… vs Reims | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Estac Tro… vs Lyon | 3-1 |
Lens Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14 | Lens vs Auxerre | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Lens vs Strasbourg | 2-2 |
| Dec 29 | Lens vs Nice | 0-0 |
| Dec 17 | Lens vs LE Havre … | 3-0 |
| Nov 05 | Lens vs Angers | 1-2 |
| Oct 28 | Lens vs Toulouse | 3-0 |
| Oct 22 | Lens vs Marseille | 0-1 |
| Sep 18 | Lens vs Nantes | 0-0 |
| Sep 09 | Lens vs Estac Tro… | 1-0 |
| Aug 27 | Lens vs Rennes FC | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Lens in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- Estac Troyes struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 09, 2022 | Lens | 1 - 0 | Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2022 | Estac Troyes | 1 - 3 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 05, 2021 | Lens | 4 - 0 | Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (28% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
28% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Estac Troyes Power
42
Lens Power
44
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.