AI Match Insights
Primera Division Sep 19, 2021
Managua FC
HomeVS
23:00
Real Madriz
AwayAI Predictions 48.0% Confidence
Managua FC Win
Draw
Real Madriz Win
Home Win
(48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
Combined: 65%
Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 3.36 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.2
Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Managua FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Real Madriz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (16%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Managua FC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 10 | Managua FC vs Real Madr… | 1-0 |
| Apr 15 | Managua FC vs Real Madr… | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Managua FC vs Real Madr… | 4-1 |
| Oct 26 | Managua FC vs Real Madr… | 0-1 |
Real Madriz Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 08 | Real Madr… vs Real Este… | 3-0 |
| Jul 31 | Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… | 4-1 |
| May 10 | Real Madr… vs Managua FC | 1-0 |
| Apr 15 | Real Madr… vs Managua FC | 1-0 |
| Apr 01 | Real Madr… vs Real Este… | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… | 2-0 |
| Feb 03 | Real Madr… vs Managua FC | 4-1 |
| Feb 01 | Real Madr… vs Real Este… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Real Madr… vs Managua FC | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Real Madriz struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | Managua FC | 1 - 0 | Real Madriz | Primera Divisi… |
| Apr 15, 2021 | Real Madriz | 1 - 0 | Managua FC | Primera Divisi… |
| Feb 03, 2021 | Managua FC | 4 - 1 | Real Madriz | Primera Divisi… |
| Oct 26, 2020 | Managua FC | 0 - 1 | Real Madriz | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Managua FC to win (61% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Managua FC Power
0
Real Madriz Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Managua FC Position+7
Position Gap10
Real Madriz Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.