AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 26, 2025

Motherwell

Home
VS
19:45

Dundee Utd

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Motherwell Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Dundee Utd Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.83 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Dundee Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Motherwell Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Feb 15 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 0-3
Feb 02 Motherwell vs Celtic 1-3
Jan 18 Motherwell vs ST Johnst… 1-0
Jan 11 Motherwell vs Hibernian 3-1
Jan 08 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 0-0
Jan 05 Motherwell vs Aberdeen 2-0
Jan 02 Motherwell vs Heart of … 1-0
Dec 29 Motherwell vs Rangers FC 2-2
Dec 26 Motherwell vs Celtic 4-0
Dundee Utd Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Dundee Utd vs Motherwell 1-0
Feb 15 Dundee Utd vs Celtic 3-0
Feb 15 Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen 1-2
Feb 08 Dundee Utd vs Airdrieon… 4-0
Feb 01 Dundee Utd vs Heart of … 0-6
Feb 01 Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Jan 26 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 1-3
Jan 20 Dundee Utd vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Jan 11 Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren 0-1
Jan 09 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Motherwell struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • Dundee Utd struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2025 Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Dec 14, 2024 Motherwell 4 - 3 Dundee Utd Premiership
Dec 04, 2024 Dundee Utd 4 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Oct 30, 2024 Dundee Utd 1 - 2 Motherwell Premiership
Oct 19, 2024 Motherwell 0 - 1 Dundee Utd Premiership
Sep 20, 2024 Motherwell 2 - 1 Dundee Utd League Cup
Apr 06, 2024 Dundee Utd 2 - 3 Motherwell Premiership
Dec 02, 2023 Motherwell 3 - 3 Dundee Utd Premiership
Aug 05, 2023 Dundee Utd 1 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
May 28, 2023 Motherwell 3 - 2 Dundee Utd Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Motherwell Power 0
Dundee Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Motherwell Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Dundee Utd Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.