AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League May 17, 2025

CSKA Sofia

Home
VS
17:00

Ludogorets Razgrad

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
CSKA Sofia Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Ludogorets Razgrad Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.52 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CSKA Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
CSKA Sofia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Pr… 5-0
May 09 CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plo… 3-0
May 03 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 1-1
May 02 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 0-1
Apr 26 CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Pr… 0-1
Apr 22 CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… 2-1
Apr 12 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 2-0
Apr 09 CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… 0-0
Apr 02 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Mar 15 CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… 1-1
Ludogorets Razgrad Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 09 Ludogoret… vs Arda Kard… 1-1
May 03 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 1-1
Mar 09 Ludogoret… vs Lokomotiv… 1-2
Mar 03 Ludogoret… vs Septemvri… 0-0
Feb 16 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 2-1
Feb 09 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 2-1
Dec 04 Ludogoret… vs Arda Kard… 0-4
Dec 01 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 2-0
Oct 20 Ludogoret… vs Septemvri… 0-2
Sep 21 Ludogoret… vs Lokomotiv… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • CSKA Sofia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2025 Ludogorets Razgrad 1 - 1 CSKA Sofia First League
Feb 09, 2025 CSKA Sofia 2 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Dec 01, 2024 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 0 CSKA Sofia First League
Sep 18, 2024 CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Aug 17, 2024 Ludogorets Razgrad 1 - 0 CSKA Sofia First League
May 26, 2024 CSKA Sofia 1 - 0 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Apr 03, 2024 Ludogorets Razgrad 5 - 1 CSKA Sofia First League
Nov 27, 2023 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 3 CSKA Sofia First League
Nov 02, 2023 CSKA Sofia 0 - 2 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Oct 01, 2023 CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CSKA Sofia Power 0
Ludogorets Razgrad Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

CSKA Sofia Position

-2

Position Gap

3

Ludogorets Razgrad Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.