AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Coupe de France Feb 04, 2026

Estac Troyes

Home
VS
20:00

Lens

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Estac Troyes Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Lens Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 35%
Combined: 34% Draw Risk: 30%
Asian Handicap: Away -1.5
xG: 0.59 - 1.65
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Away -1.5
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Estac Troyes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Lens Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (18%) 0-2 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 0-3 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Estac Troyes Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Estac Tro… vs Le Mans 0-2
Jan 24 Estac Tro… vs Guingamp 1-0
Jan 17 Estac Tro… vs Reims 2-1
Jan 10 Estac Tro… vs Bastia 0-2
Jan 03 Estac Tro… vs RED Star … 1-0
Dec 20 Estac Tro… vs Olympique… 1-3
Dec 15 Estac Tro… vs Boulogne 1-2
Dec 06 Estac Tro… vs Rodez 1-1
Nov 30 Estac Tro… vs Touraine 0-2
Nov 21 Estac Tro… vs Laval 0-1
Lens Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Lens vs LE Havre … 1-0
Jan 24 Lens vs Marseille 3-1
Jan 17 Lens vs Auxerre 1-0
Jan 11 Lens vs Sochaux 0-3
Jan 02 Lens vs Toulouse 0-3
Dec 19 Lens vs Feignies-… 3-1
Dec 14 Lens vs Nice 2-0
Dec 06 Lens vs Nantes 1-2
Nov 30 Lens vs Angers 1-2
Nov 22 Lens vs Strasbourg 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Estac Troyes in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Lens in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2023 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Lens Ligue 1
Sep 09, 2022 Lens 1 - 0 Estac Troyes Ligue 1
May 14, 2022 Estac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens Ligue 1
Nov 05, 2021 Lens 4 - 0 Estac Troyes Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Estac Troyes to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Estac Troyes Power 42
Lens Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.