AI Match Insights

Major League Soccer Apr 30, 2023

St. Louis City SC

Home
VS
00:30

Portland Timbers

Away
AI Predictions 75.0% Confidence
St. Louis City SC Win
75.0%
Draw
19.0%
Portland Timbers Win
6.0%
Home Win (75% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 1.98 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Louis City SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Portland Timbers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
St. Louis City SC Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 St. Louis… vs Portland … 1-2
Feb 26 St. Louis… vs Austin 2-3
Portland Timbers Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Portland … vs St. Louis… 1-2
Mar 04 Portland … vs Los Angel… 3-2
Oct 02 Portland … vs Los Angel… 1-2
May 11 Portland … vs Los Angel… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portland Timbers struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2023 Portland Timbers 1 - 2 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: St. Louis City SC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Louis City SC Power 0
Portland Timbers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.