Major League Soccer · Aug 25, 2024 02:30
Portland Timbers
PWR 36
St. Louis City SC
PWR 44
Portland Timbers
PWR 36
4 - 4
FT
St. Louis City SC
PWR 44
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Portland Timbers to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 12%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense40
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.7
Attack64
Defense31
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G2.0
Portland Timbe… Form
LDLDW
STABLE
St. Louis City… Form
WDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS73%
Under 2.529%
Portland Ti… Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
St. Louis C… Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Portland Timbe…vs
1.88
St. Louis City…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Portland Ti…+1
Gap#18
St. Louis C…
WR 22% 37 pts
WR 35% 36 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44 | 62 | 37 |
| St. Louis City … | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 57 | 36 |
Portland Timbe…
8.0%
| Aug 10 | Portlan… v St. Lou… | 3-1 |
| Jun 09 | Portlan… v St. Lou… | 0-0 |
| Apr 28 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 3-2 |
| Apr 13 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 2-2 |
| Sep 10 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 2-0 |
| Apr 30 | Portlan… v St. Lou… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Portlan… v St. Lou… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 3-2 |
| Oct 02 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 1-2 |
| May 11 | Portlan… v Los Ang… | 2-0 |
St. Louis City…
16.0%
| Aug 10 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 3-1 |
| Jun 09 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 0-0 |
| Apr 14 | St. Lou… v Austin | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | St. Lou… v Austin | 2-2 |
| Aug 21 | St. Lou… v Austin | 6-3 |
| Apr 30 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | St. Lou… v Portlan… | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | St. Lou… v Austin | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Aug 10, 2024 | St. Louis Cit… | 3-1 | Portland Timb… |
| Jun 09, 2024 | St. Louis Cit… | 0-0 | Portland Timb… |
| Apr 30, 2023 | St. Louis Cit… | 1-2 | Portland Timb… |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Portland Timb… | 1-2 | St. Louis Cit… |
Key Factors
St. Louis City SC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.