AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Oct 22, 2022

Red Arrows

Home
VS
13:00

Nchanga Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 46.3% Confidence
Red Arrows Win
46.3%
Draw
24.7%
Nchanga Rangers Win
28.9%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.77 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Red Arrows Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Nchanga Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Red Arrows Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 1-0
Oct 01 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 1-1
Aug 27 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 0-1
Aug 20 Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… 0-0
Apr 09 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 1-1
Mar 24 Red Arrows vs Power Dyn… 0-0
Feb 13 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 2-0
Feb 05 Red Arrows vs Konkola B… 2-2
Jan 29 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 2-3
Jan 08 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 1-0
Nchanga Rangers Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Nchanga R… vs Prison Le… 1-1
Oct 01 Nchanga R… vs Nkana 1-1
Aug 27 Nchanga R… vs Zanaco 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Red Arrows to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Red Arrows Power 0
Nchanga Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Red Arrows Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Nchanga Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.