AI Match Insights

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Potiguar Mar 31, 2022

Potiguar Mossoró

Home
VS
23:00

América-RN

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Potiguar Mossoró Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
América-RN Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.03 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.0
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Potiguar Mossoró Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
América-RN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Potiguar Mossoró Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Potiguar … vs Potyguar 2-2
Mar 13 Potiguar … vs ABC 2-1
Feb 12 Potiguar … vs Santa Cru… 2-1
Feb 02 Potiguar … vs América-RN 3-1
Jan 26 Potiguar … vs Potyguar 1-2
Jan 19 Potiguar … vs ABC 3-0
Jan 09 Potiguar … vs Santa Cru… 1-0
May 27 Potiguar … vs América-RN 1-2
May 04 Potiguar … vs Santa Cru… 3-0
Apr 28 Potiguar … vs América-RN 4-0
América-RN Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 América-RN vs Globo 2-1
Feb 13 América-RN vs Potyguar 2-0
Feb 02 América-RN vs Potiguar … 3-1
Jan 19 América-RN vs Globo 2-0
Jan 09 América-RN vs Potyguar 3-2
May 27 América-RN vs Potiguar … 1-2
May 16 América-RN vs Globo 3-2
May 02 América-RN vs Globo 0-2
Apr 28 América-RN vs Potiguar … 4-0
Mar 14 América-RN vs Globo 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • América-RN in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Potiguar Mossoró struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2022 América-RN 3 - 1 Potiguar Mossoró Potiguar
May 27, 2021 Potiguar Mossoró 1 - 2 América-RN Potiguar
Apr 28, 2021 América-RN 4 - 0 Potiguar Mossoró Potiguar
Aug 14, 2020 Potiguar Mossoró 0 - 6 América-RN Potiguar
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Potiguar Mossoró to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Potiguar Mossoró Power 0
América-RN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Potiguar Mossoró Position

+4

Position Gap

7

América-RN Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.