AI Match Insights

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Paranaense - 1 Jan 24, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

Home
VS
22:15

Foz Do Iguacu

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Athletico Paranaense Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Foz Do Iguacu Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.08 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Foz Do Iguacu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Athletico Paranaense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Athletico… vs Vila Nova 2-2
Jan 17 Athletico… vs Aruko Spo… 1-2
Jan 15 Athletico… vs Goiás 2-1
Oct 16 Athletico… vs Corinthia… 1-0
Aug 27 Athletico… vs Goiás 2-1
Jul 13 Athletico… vs Goiás 0-3
Jun 22 Athletico… vs Goiás 0-0
Jun 19 Athletico… vs Corinthia… 0-1
Mar 27 Athletico… vs Corinthia… 1-1
Mar 22 Athletico… vs Vila Nova 1-1
Foz Do Iguacu Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Foz Do Ig… vs Aruko Spo… 1-0
Jun 12 Foz Do Ig… vs Aruko Spo… 0-1
Jun 05 Foz Do Ig… vs Aruko Spo… 3-3
May 29 Foz Do Ig… vs Andraus B… 0-1
May 22 Foz Do Ig… vs Andraus B… 0-1
Apr 30 Foz Do Ig… vs Andraus B… 1-0
Apr 20 Foz Do Ig… vs Aruko Spo… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Foz Do Iguacu in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Foz Do Iguacu Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Athletico Paranaense Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Foz Do Iguacu Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.