AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 19, 2023

Joinville

Home
VS
00:00

MarcĂ­lio Dias

Away
AI Predictions 38.5% Confidence
Joinville Win
38.5%
Draw
26.3%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Win
35.2%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.55 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.8
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Joinville Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Joinville vs Barra 1-2
Feb 10 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 2-1
Feb 06 Joinville vs Marcílio … 3-0
Jan 23 Joinville vs Figueiren… 0-0
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Marcílio … vs São Berna… 1-0
Apr 02 Marcílio … vs São Berna… 2-0
Mar 16 Marcílio … vs Bandeiran… 2-1
Mar 05 Marcílio … vs Chapecoen… 1-2
Feb 27 Marcílio … vs Barra 4-2
Feb 26 Marcílio … vs São Berna… 1-1
Feb 06 Marcílio … vs Joinville 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • MarcĂ­lio Dias in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2022 MarcĂ­lio Dias 3 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Joinville Power 0
MarcĂ­lio Dias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Joinville Position

-1

Position Gap

5

MarcĂ­lio Dias Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.