AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 06, 2025

Joinville

Home
VS
23:00

MarcĂ­lio Dias

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Joinville Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.91 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (27%) 1-0 (25%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Joinville Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 3-0
Jan 19 Joinville vs Barra 0-0
Jan 11 Joinville vs Figueiren… 0-0
Oct 05 Joinville vs Figueiren… 0-0
Sep 29 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-2
Sep 21 Joinville vs Barra 2-2
Feb 24 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 0-0
Feb 18 Joinville vs Barra 1-1
Feb 10 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 2-3
Jan 24 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-1
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 2-1
Jan 22 Marcílio … vs Jataiense 1-0
Jan 19 Marcílio … vs Bandeiran… 2-1
Jan 19 Marcílio … vs Chapecoen… 1-0
Oct 16 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 0-0
Sep 29 Marcílio … vs Joinville 2-2
Sep 15 Marcílio … vs Barra 1-1
Mar 08 Marcílio … vs São Berna… 2-2
Feb 22 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 2-0
Feb 10 Marcílio … vs Jataiense 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MarcĂ­lio Dias struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2024 Joinville 2 - 2 Marcílio Dias Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 20, 2024 Joinville 2 - 3 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Sep 10, 2023 Marcílio Dias 2 - 1 Joinville Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 19, 2023 Joinville 0 - 0 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Feb 06, 2022 MarcĂ­lio Dias 3 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Joinville Power 0
MarcĂ­lio Dias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Joinville Position

-1

Position Gap

5

MarcĂ­lio Dias Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.