AI Match Insights
Eredivisie Jan 21, 2023
PSV Eindhoven
HomeVS
19:00
Vitesse
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
PSV Eindhoven Win
Draw
Vitesse Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.50 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
PSV Eindhoven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Vitesse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (3%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
PSV Eindhoven Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15 | PSV Eindh… vs Fortuna S… | 2-2 |
| Jan 06 | PSV Eindh… vs Jong AZ | 1-1 |
| Dec 11 | PSV Eindh… vs De Graafs… | 1-2 |
| Oct 28 | PSV Eindh… vs Jong PSV | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | PSV Eindh… vs Willem II | 1-0 |
| Oct 16 | PSV Eindh… vs Utrecht | 6-1 |
| Oct 09 | PSV Eindh… vs Heerenveen | 0-1 |
| Oct 01 | PSV Eindh… vs Cambuur | 3-0 |
| Sep 30 | PSV Eindh… vs Dordrecht | 1-1 |
| Sep 09 | PSV Eindh… vs MVV Maast… | 5-0 |
Vitesse Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | Vitesse vs Waalwijk | 2-2 |
| Mar 20 | Vitesse vs Waalwijk | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | Vitesse vs PSV Eindh… | 0-5 |
| Nov 20 | Vitesse vs PSV Eindh… | 2-0 |
| Sep 12 | Vitesse vs Waalwijk | 1-2 |
| Apr 09 | Vitesse vs ADO Den H… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Vitesse vs PSV Eindh… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Vitesse vs Waalwijk | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Vitesse vs ADO Den H… | 2-1 |
| Oct 25 | Vitesse vs PSV Eindh… | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Vitesse struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | Vitesse | 0 - 5 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Nov 20, 2021 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 - 0 | Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Feb 21, 2021 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 1 | Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Vitesse | 2 - 1 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2020 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 1 | Vitesse | Friendlies Clu… |
Final Verdict
MASTER: PSV Eindhoven to win (78% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 98
PSV Eindhoven Power
0
Vitesse Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.