AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azadegan League Nov 02, 2023

Pars Jonoubi JAM

Home
VS
14:15

Mes Soongoun

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Pars Jonoubi JAM Win
46.0%
Draw
24.8%
Mes Soongoun Win
29.2%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 79%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.96 - 0.66
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pars Jonoubi JAM Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Mes Soongoun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (20%) 1-0 (19%) 0-1 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Pars Jonoubi JAM Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Pars Jono… vs Damash Gi… 1-1
Oct 02 Pars Jono… vs Mes Shahr… 0-3
Feb 06 Pars Jono… vs Saipa 3-1
Jan 25 Pars Jono… vs Mes Shahr… 0-0
Sep 13 Pars Jono… vs Saipa 1-1
Sep 02 Pars Jono… vs Mes Shahr… 2-1
Jun 02 Pars Jono… vs Mes Kerman 1-1
Apr 18 Pars Jono… vs Saipa 0-0
Feb 21 Pars Jono… vs Mes Shahr… 1-1
Jan 28 Pars Jono… vs Mes Kerman 1-0
Mes Soongoun Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Mes Soong… vs Ario Esla… 1-1
Oct 08 Mes Soong… vs Mes Shahr… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pars Jonoubi JAM to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pars Jonoubi JAM Power 0
Mes Soongoun Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Pars Jonoubi JAM Position

+12

Position Gap

17

Mes Soongoun Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.