AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Division Profesional - Apertura Mar 14, 2024

Sportivo Luqueño

Home
VS
22:30

Cerro Porteño

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Sportivo Luqueño Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Cerro Porteño Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.93 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sportivo Luqueño Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Cerro Porteño Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Sportivo Luqueño Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 1-0
Mar 07 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 0-1
Mar 02 Sportivo … vs Olimpia 1-0
Feb 16 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 1-3
Feb 11 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-0
Jan 20 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 2-0
Dec 01 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 1-1
Nov 07 Sportivo … vs Olimpia 2-1
Nov 03 Sportivo … vs Cerro Por… 2-0
Oct 09 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-2
Cerro Porteño Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Cerro Por… vs Libertad … 1-1
Jan 29 Cerro Por… vs 2 de Mayo 0-3
Nov 06 Cerro Por… vs Libertad … 1-1
Nov 03 Cerro Por… vs Sportivo … 2-0
Aug 26 Cerro Por… vs Libertad … 1-1
Aug 20 Cerro Por… vs Sportivo … 2-2
Jun 02 Cerro Por… vs Libertad … 2-0
Dec 13 Cerro Por… vs Club Sp. … 1-1
Oct 02 Cerro Por… vs Club Sp. … 1-1
Aug 02 Cerro Por… vs Club Sp. … 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sportivo Luqueño in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2023 Cerro Porteño 2 - 0 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Aug 20, 2023 Sportivo Luqueño 2 - 2 Cerro Porteño Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sportivo Luqueño to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sportivo Luqueño Power 0
Cerro Porteño Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.