AI Match Insights
Primeira Liga Dec 02, 2024
FC Porto
HomeVS
20:45
Casa Pia AC
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
FC Porto Win
Draw
Casa Pia AC Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
CS68+M80 (75.0%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
93%
Market
50%
Combined: 69%
Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.38 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.4
Position gap: 15 places
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Casa Pia AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
FC Porto Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27 | FC Porto vs CSKA Mosc… | 2-1 |
| Nov 24 | FC Porto vs Moreirense | 2-1 |
| Nov 16 | FC Porto vs KR Reykja… | 1-1 |
| Nov 10 | FC Porto vs Benfica | 4-1 |
| Nov 10 | FC Porto vs Benfica | 4-1 |
| Nov 09 | FC Porto vs Rubin Kaz… | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | FC Porto vs CSKA Mosc… | 0-1 |
| Nov 03 | FC Porto vs Estoril | 4-0 |
| Nov 03 | FC Porto vs Estoril | 4-0 |
| Nov 02 | FC Porto vs Spartak M… | 3-1 |
Casa Pia AC Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23 | Casa Pia … vs Chaves | 3-0 |
| Nov 09 | Casa Pia … vs Farense | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Casa Pia … vs Rio Ave FC | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | Casa Pia … vs Rio Ave FC | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | Casa Pia … vs Nacional | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Casa Pia … vs Sporting … | 2-0 |
| Oct 05 | Casa Pia … vs Sp Lisbon | 2-0 |
| Sep 28 | Casa Pia … vs Guimaraes | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Casa Pia … vs Guimaraes | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Casa Pia … vs GIL Vicen… | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC Porto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 1 - 2 | FC Porto | Pro League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 1 - 2 | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 09, 2023 | FC Porto | 3 - 1 | Casa Pia AC | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 09, 2023 | FC Porto | 3 - 1 | Casa Pia AC | Pro League |
| May 14, 2023 | FC Porto | 2 - 1 | Casa Pia AC | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 07, 2023 | Casa Pia AC | 0 - 0 | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
Final Verdict
MASTER: FC Porto to win (83% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 15
FC Porto Power
0
Casa Pia AC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
FC Porto Position+15
Position Gap16
Casa Pia AC Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.