AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Apr 12, 2025

Casa Pia AC

Home
VS
19:30

FC Porto

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Casa Pia AC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Porto Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.39 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Casa Pia AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Casa Pia AC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Casa Pia … vs Farense 0-0
Mar 29 Casa Pia … vs Rio Ave FC 2-1
Mar 16 Casa Pia … vs Nacional 3-1
Mar 09 Casa Pia … vs Sp Lisbon 1-3
Mar 09 Casa Pia … vs Sporting … 1-3
Mar 01 Casa Pia … vs Guimaraes 1-0
Feb 22 Casa Pia … vs GIL Vicen… 1-0
Feb 15 Casa Pia … vs Moreirense 3-2
Feb 09 Casa Pia … vs Estrela d… 1-0
Feb 01 Casa Pia … vs Santa Cla… 2-1
FC Porto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 FC Porto vs Benfica 1-4
Mar 30 FC Porto vs Rubin Kaz… 0-0
Mar 30 FC Porto vs Estoril 1-2
Mar 22 FC Porto vs CSKA Mosk… 3-0
Mar 16 FC Porto vs Leixões SC 0-1
Mar 15 FC Porto vs AVS 2-0
Mar 15 FC Porto vs Lokomotiv… 0-2
Mar 12 FC Porto vs Zenit Sai… 0-1
Mar 08 FC Porto vs SC Braga 1-0
Mar 08 FC Porto vs Dinamo Mo… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Casa Pia AC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FC Porto struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 02, 2024 FC Porto 2 - 0 Casa Pia AC Primeira Liga
Dec 02, 2024 FC Porto 2 - 0 Casa Pia AC Pro League
Apr 21, 2024 Casa Pia AC 1 - 2 FC Porto Pro League
Apr 21, 2024 Casa Pia AC 1 - 2 FC Porto Primeira Liga
Dec 09, 2023 FC Porto 3 - 1 Casa Pia AC Primeira Liga
Dec 09, 2023 FC Porto 3 - 1 Casa Pia AC Pro League
May 14, 2023 FC Porto 2 - 1 Casa Pia AC Primeira Liga
Jan 07, 2023 Casa Pia AC 0 - 0 FC Porto Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Casa Pia AC Power 0
FC Porto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Casa Pia AC Position

-15

Position Gap

1

FC Porto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.