AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Apr 10, 2025

PSM Makassar

Home
VS
08:30

Semen Padang

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
PSM Makassar Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Semen Padang Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.06 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PSM Makassar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Semen Padang Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
PSM Makassar Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 PSM Makas… vs Persebaya… 0-1
Feb 01 PSM Makas… vs Persib Ba… 1-0
Jan 27 PSM Makas… vs Dewa Unit… 3-2
Jan 18 PSM Makas… vs PSBS Biak… 1-1
Jan 13 PSM Makas… vs Persis So… 0-1
Dec 29 PSM Makas… vs Persita 2-1
Dec 17 PSM Makas… vs Malut Uni… 2-2
Dec 07 PSM Makas… vs Bali Unit… 1-1
Dec 02 PSM Makas… vs Pusamania… 1-0
Nov 21 PSM Makas… vs Semen Pad… 1-1
Semen Padang Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 21 Semen Pad… vs Persis So… 1-1
Jan 20 Semen Pad… vs Bali Unit… 1-5
Jan 14 Semen Pad… vs Pusamania… 1-3
Dec 27 Semen Pad… vs Arema FC 1-2
Dec 21 Semen Pad… vs Persik Ke… 3-1
Dec 10 Semen Pad… vs Persepam … 0-1
Dec 06 Semen Pad… vs Persija J… 0-1
Nov 21 Semen Pad… vs PSM Makas… 1-1
Sep 29 Semen Pad… vs Persis So… 0-0
Aug 18 Semen Pad… vs Bali Unit… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • PSM Makassar struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Semen Padang struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 21, 2024 Semen Padang 1 - 1 PSM Makassar Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: PSM Makassar to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PSM Makassar Power 0
Semen Padang Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

PSM Makassar Position

+3

Position Gap

16

Semen Padang Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.