AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Sep 04, 2022

Udinese

Home
VS
18:45

AS Roma

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Udinese Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
AS Roma Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.17 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Udinese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
AS Roma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Udinese Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Udinese vs Fiorentina 1-0
May 01 Udinese vs Inter 1-2
Apr 27 Udinese vs Fiorentina 0-4
Apr 24 Udinese vs Bologna 2-2
Mar 19 Udinese vs Napoli 2-1
Mar 13 Udinese vs AS Roma 1-1
Feb 20 Udinese vs Lazio 1-1
Feb 13 Udinese vs Verona 4-0
Feb 06 Udinese vs Torino 2-0
Jan 22 Udinese vs Genoa 0-0
AS Roma Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 AS Roma vs Juventus 1-1
Jun 07 AS Roma vs Bosnia & … 1-0
May 20 AS Roma vs Torino 0-3
Apr 18 AS Roma vs Napoli 1-1
Mar 13 AS Roma vs Udinese 1-1
Mar 05 AS Roma vs Atalanta 1-0
Feb 13 AS Roma vs Sassuolo 2-2
Feb 05 AS Roma vs Genoa 0-0
Jan 27 AS Roma vs Saudi Ara… 1-0
Jan 20 AS Roma vs Lecce 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 13, 2022 Udinese 1 - 1 AS Roma Serie A
Sep 23, 2021 AS Roma 1 - 0 Udinese Serie A
Feb 14, 2021 AS Roma 3 - 0 Udinese Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Udinese Power 31
AS Roma Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Udinese Position

-4

Position Gap

5

AS Roma Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.