AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Feb 10, 2024

Duhok

Home
VS
13:30

Al-Qasim SC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Duhok Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Al-Qasim SC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.34 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.8 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Duhok Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Al-Qasim SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Duhok Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Duhok vs Al Quwa A… 1-0
Dec 08 Duhok vs Al Zawra'a 3-0
Nov 24 Duhok vs Al Najaf 1-0
Nov 04 Duhok vs Zakho 0-0
Jul 20 Duhok vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Jul 09 Duhok vs Naft Mays… 1-1
Jul 04 Duhok vs Al Kahrab… 2-2
Jun 24 Duhok vs Al-Qasim … 0-0
Jun 03 Duhok vs Al Najaf 2-4
May 24 Duhok vs Zakho 1-1
Al-Qasim SC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 24 Al-Qasim … vs Al Najaf 1-0
Dec 20 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 3-3
Nov 02 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 1-0
Jun 30 Al-Qasim … vs Al Shorta… 1-0
Jun 24 Al-Qasim … vs Duhok 0-0
May 23 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 0-0
May 10 Al-Qasim … vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
May 05 Al-Qasim … vs Al Najaf 0-0
Mar 18 Al-Qasim … vs Al Quwa A… 3-4
Feb 07 Al-Qasim … vs Al Shorta… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Qasim SC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 24, 2023 Al-Qasim SC 0 - 0 Duhok Iraqi League
Jan 31, 2023 Duhok 2 - 1 Al-Qasim SC Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Duhok to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Duhok Power 0
Al-Qasim SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Duhok Position

+10

Position Gap

20

Al-Qasim SC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.