AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Czech Liga Aug 22, 2021

Plzen

Home
VS
14:00

Karviná

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Plzen Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Karviná Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.57 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Plzen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Karviná Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Plzen Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Plzen vs Slovan Li… 0-1
Apr 10 Plzen vs Karviná 1-1
Apr 07 Plzen vs Slovan Li… 1-0
Dec 05 Plzen vs Karviná 0-1
Sep 24 Plzen vs Sonderjys… 3-0
May 13 Plzen vs Dukla Pra… 3-1
Karviná Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 14 Karviná vs Zlin 2-3
Jul 03 Karviná vs Opava 0-1
May 29 Karviná vs Baník Ost… 1-1
May 23 Karviná vs Teplice 2-0
Apr 10 Karviná vs Plzen 1-1
Apr 04 Karviná vs Zlin 1-2
Mar 14 Karviná vs Bohemians… 2-0
Feb 06 Karviná vs Opava 3-1
Jan 30 Karviná vs Teplice 2-2
Dec 05 Karviná vs Plzen 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Plzen in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 10, 2021 Karviná 1 - 1 Plzen Czech Liga
Dec 05, 2020 Plzen 0 - 1 Karviná Czech Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Plzen Power 0
Karviná Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Plzen Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Karviná Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.