AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Czech Liga Aug 11, 2024

Plzen

Home
VS
18:00

Karviná

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Plzen Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Karviná Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 4.50 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Plzen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Karviná Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Plzen Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 20 Plzen vs Dukla Pra… 1-3
May 26 Plzen vs Slavia Pr… 1-1
May 22 Plzen vs Slavia Pr… 1-2
May 18 Plzen vs Baník Ost… 1-1
May 15 Plzen vs Slavia Pr… 3-0
May 11 Plzen vs Slovácko 4-2
May 05 Plzen vs Mladá Bol… 3-0
Apr 28 Plzen vs Police 3-0
Apr 24 Plzen vs Zlin 3-0
Apr 21 Plzen vs Slovácko 1-1
Karviná Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 21 Karviná vs Slovan Li… 1-3
Jun 02 Karviná vs Vyškov 1-0
May 30 Karviná vs Vyškov 0-1
May 25 Karviná vs České Bud… 1-0
May 19 Karviná vs Pardubice 4-0
May 16 Karviná vs Bohemians… 1-3
May 12 Karviná vs Zlin 2-2
May 09 Karviná vs Şamaxı 3-0
May 04 Karviná vs FK Jablon… 3-2
May 01 Karviná vs Mil-Muğan 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Karviná in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2024 Karviná 0 - 0 Plzen Czech Liga
Oct 29, 2023 Plzen 0 - 1 Karviná Czech Liga
Dec 18, 2021 Karviná 0 - 1 Plzen Czech Liga
Aug 22, 2021 Plzen 2 - 0 Karviná Czech Liga
Apr 10, 2021 Karviná 1 - 1 Plzen Czech Liga
Dec 05, 2020 Plzen 0 - 1 Karviná Czech Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Plzen Power 0
Karviná Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Plzen Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Karviná Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.