AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Jan 26, 2025

Managua FC

Home
VS
23:00

Rancho Santana

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Managua FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Rancho Santana Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.29 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Managua FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Rancho Santana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Managua FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Managua FC vs Walter Fe… 1-0
Jan 23 Managua FC vs Diriangén 0-2
Nov 21 Managua FC vs Real Este… 0-1
Nov 21 Managua FC vs Matagalpa 4-1
Nov 15 Managua FC vs H&H Export 2-1
Nov 09 Managua FC vs Jalapa 1-1
Nov 03 Managua FC vs Managua FC 2-1
Oct 27 Managua FC vs Rancho Sa… 3-0
Oct 27 Managua FC vs Walter Fe… 1-0
Oct 20 Managua FC vs Diriangén 0-4
Rancho Santana Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Rancho Sa… vs Jalapa 4-0
Jan 18 Rancho Sa… vs Real Este… 3-2
Nov 21 Rancho Sa… vs Diriangén 0-6
Nov 03 Rancho Sa… vs Matagalpa 1-0
Oct 27 Rancho Sa… vs Managua FC 3-0
Oct 19 Rancho Sa… vs Jalapa 2-1
Oct 05 Rancho Sa… vs Real Este… 1-3
Sep 22 Rancho Sa… vs Diriangén 2-3
Aug 24 Rancho Sa… vs Matagalpa 1-0
Aug 17 Rancho Sa… vs Managua FC 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Managua FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Rancho Santana struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2024 Managua FC 3 - 0 Rancho Santana Primera Divisi…
Aug 17, 2024 Rancho Santana 0 - 3 Managua FC Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Managua FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Managua FC Power 0
Rancho Santana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Managua FC Position

+1

Position Gap

4

Rancho Santana Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.