AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Sep 30, 2023

Jalapa

Home
VS
21:00

Real Estelí

Away
AI Predictions 46.8% Confidence
Jalapa Win
24.0%
Draw
29.2%
Real Estelí Win
46.8%
Away Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.93 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Jalapa Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Jalapa vs H&H Export 1-1
Aug 05 Jalapa vs Real Este… 4-0
Real Estelí Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Real Este… vs Jalapa 4-0
Mar 20 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 4-0
Feb 06 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 0-0
Oct 11 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 1-2
Aug 08 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 3-0
Apr 01 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 0-1
Feb 01 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 0-1
Oct 19 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Estelí in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 05, 2023 Real Estelí 4 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jalapa Power 0
Real Estelí Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Jalapa Position

-3

Position Gap

2

Real Estelí Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.