AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Feb 02, 2025

Real Estelí

Home
VS
00:00

Jalapa

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Real Estelí Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Jalapa Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Real Estelí Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 2-0
Jan 18 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 3-2
Dec 15 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-1
Dec 08 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-4
Nov 21 Real Este… vs Managua FC 0-1
Nov 18 Real Este… vs H&H Export 0-0
Nov 13 Real Este… vs Jalapa 0-1
Nov 07 Real Este… vs Jalapa 5-1
Oct 20 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-1
Oct 05 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 1-3
Jalapa Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Jalapa vs H&H Export 0-1
Jan 22 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 4-0
Nov 17 Jalapa vs Diriangén 6-0
Nov 13 Jalapa vs Real Este… 0-1
Nov 09 Jalapa vs Managua FC 1-1
Nov 07 Jalapa vs Real Este… 5-1
Nov 03 Jalapa vs H&H Export 0-0
Oct 19 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 2-1
Sep 18 Jalapa vs Diriangén 2-2
Sep 14 Jalapa vs Managua FC 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Estelí in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Jalapa struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 13, 2024 Jalapa 0 - 1 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Nov 07, 2024 Real Estelí 5 - 1 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Apr 03, 2024 Real Estelí 5 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Jan 27, 2024 Jalapa 2 - 0 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Sep 30, 2023 Jalapa 2 - 0 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Aug 05, 2023 Real Estelí 4 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Estelí to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Estelí Power 0
Jalapa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Estelí Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Jalapa Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.