Catarinense - 1 · Feb 08, 2023 22:00

Brusque
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Concórdia
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Brusque to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (28%) 1-0 (26%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Brusque Form DWLWW
STABLE
Concórdia Form DDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS18%
Under 2.586%
Brusque Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Concórdia Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Brusque
vs
0.35
Concórdia
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Brusque
+3
Gap
#4
Concórdia
WR 67% 12 pts WR 33% 7 pts
Brusque 14.0%
Feb 05 Brusque v Criciúma 1-1
Jan 14 Brusque v Barra 2-0
Oct 01 Brusque v Criciúma 0-2
Jun 17 Brusque v Criciúma 0-1
Mar 27 Brusque v Concórd… 1-0
Mar 23 Brusque v Concórd… 0-1
Mar 05 Brusque v Figueir… 2-2
Feb 20 Brusque v Barra 3-1
Jan 22 Brusque v Concórd… 0-0
Jan 14 Brusque v Figueir… 0-0
Concórdia 8.0%
Feb 04 Concórd… v Chapeco… 2-2
Jan 22 Concórd… v Barra 0-0
Jan 18 Concórd… v Figueir… 0-0
Jan 14 Concórd… v Criciúma 0-0
Mar 27 Concórd… v Brusque 1-0
Mar 23 Concórd… v Brusque 0-1
Mar 20 Concórd… v Chapeco… 1-1
Mar 13 Concórd… v Chapeco… 1-1
Feb 16 Concórd… v Chapeco… 0-1
Feb 02 Concórd… v Barra 0-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Mar 27, 2022 Brusque 1-0 Concórdia
Mar 23, 2022 Concórdia 0-1 Brusque
Jan 22, 2022 Concórdia 0-0 Brusque
Key Factors
Brusque in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.