AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 16, 2025

Concórdia

Home
VS
21:00

Brusque

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Concórdia Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Brusque Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.48 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Concórdia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Brusque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Concórdia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Concórdia vs Figueiren… 4-1
Jan 26 Concórdia vs Chapecoen… 2-1
Jan 19 Concórdia vs Criciúma 2-0
Jan 15 Concórdia vs Barra 0-0
Oct 03 Concórdia vs Barra 0-2
Sep 14 Concórdia vs Figueiren… 3-0
Feb 10 Concórdia vs Barra 3-0
Feb 07 Concórdia vs Brusque 1-1
Feb 04 Concórdia vs Chapecoen… 0-1
Feb 01 Concórdia vs Figueiren… 2-0
Brusque Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Brusque vs Santa Cat… 1-0
Feb 08 Brusque vs Criciúma 1-1
Feb 05 Brusque vs Figueiren… 1-0
Feb 01 Brusque vs Barra 2-0
Nov 24 Brusque vs América M… 3-0
Nov 17 Brusque vs Guaraní C… 2-1
Nov 12 Brusque vs Paysandu … 1-0
Nov 06 Brusque vs Botafogo 0-1
Oct 29 Brusque vs Chapecoen… 0-1
May 22 Brusque vs Athletico… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brusque struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 07, 2024 Concórdia 1 - 1 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Mar 22, 2023 Brusque 2 - 0 Concórdia Catarinense - 1
Mar 19, 2023 Concórdia 0 - 0 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Feb 08, 2023 Brusque 0 - 0 Concórdia Catarinense - 1
Mar 27, 2022 Brusque 1 - 0 Concórdia Catarinense - 1
Mar 23, 2022 Concórdia 0 - 1 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Jan 22, 2022 Concórdia 0 - 0 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Concórdia Power 0
Brusque Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Concórdia Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Brusque Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.