Serie B · Jun 11, 2022 00:30
Chapecoense
PWR 51
Criciúma
PWR 53
Chapecoense
PWR 51
2 - 3
FT
Criciúma
PWR 53
46% H
25% D
29% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%)
0-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense69
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Attack44
Defense69
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Chapecoense Form
DDDLD
STABLE
Criciúma Form
DLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS38%
Under 2.565%
Chapecoense Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Criciúma Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Chapecoensevs
0.72
CriciúmaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Chapecoense+3
Gap#6
Criciúma
WR 41% 86 pts
WR 45% 78 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | 56 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 67 | 50 | 86 |
| Criciúma | 49 | 22 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 43 | 78 |
Chapecoense
8.0%
| Apr 23 | Chapeco… v Vasco D… | 0-0 |
| Mar 20 | Chapeco… v Concórd… | 1-1 |
| Mar 13 | Chapeco… v Concórd… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Chapeco… v Marcíli… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Chapeco… v Camboriú | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Chapeco… v Concórd… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Chapeco… v Joinvil… | 2-1 |
Criciúma
6.7%
| Sep 11 | Criciúma v Botafogo | 0-0 |
| Jul 12 | Criciúma v Botafogo | 3-1 |
| Dec 05 | Criciúma v Brusque | 2-2 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.