Catarinense - 1 · Jan 22, 2023 20:00

Chapecoense
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Criciúma
PWR 35
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Chapecoense Form LDLDD
STABLE
Criciúma Form DWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS75%
Under 2.526%
Chapecoense Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Criciúma Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Chapecoense
vs
1.95
Criciúma
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings62%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Chapecoense
+1
Gap
#3
Criciúma
WR 67% 11 pts WR 33% 11 pts
Chapecoense 6.0%
Sep 25 Chapeco… v Criciúma 2-0
Jul 31 Chapeco… v Vasco D… 0-0
Jun 11 Chapeco… v Criciúma 2-3
Apr 23 Chapeco… v Vasco D… 0-0
Mar 20 Chapeco… v Concórd… 1-1
Mar 13 Chapeco… v Concórd… 1-1
Mar 05 Chapeco… v Marcíli… 1-2
Feb 20 Chapeco… v Camboriú 1-1
Feb 16 Chapeco… v Concórd… 0-1
Feb 10 Chapeco… v Joinvil… 2-1
Criciúma 14.0%
Jan 14 Criciúma v Concórd… 0-0
Oct 01 Criciúma v Brusque 0-2
Sep 25 Criciúma v Chapeco… 2-0
Jun 17 Criciúma v Brusque 0-1
Jun 11 Criciúma v Chapeco… 2-3
Sep 11 Criciúma v Botafogo 0-0
Jul 12 Criciúma v Botafogo 3-1
Dec 05 Criciúma v Brusque 2-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Sep 25, 2022 Criciúma 2-0 Chapecoense
Jun 11, 2022 Chapecoense 2-3 Criciúma
Key Factors
Criciúma in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.