AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Apr 19, 2024

Derry City

Home
VS
18:45

Shamrock Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Derry City Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Shamrock Rovers Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.80 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Shamrock Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Derry City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Derry City vs Shamrock … 2-2
Feb 24 Derry City vs Sligo Rov… 0-0
Sep 15 Derry City vs Shamrock … 1-1
Shamrock Rovers Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Shamrock … vs Derry City 2-2
Feb 16 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 1-1
Feb 09 Shamrock … vs St Patric… 3-1
Sep 15 Shamrock … vs Derry City 1-1
Aug 25 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 1-0
Jul 23 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 1-0
Jul 18 Shamrock … vs Breidablik 2-1
Jul 11 Shamrock … vs Breidablik 0-1
Jun 30 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 2-0
Jun 02 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 04, 2024 Shamrock Rovers 2 - 2 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Sep 15, 2023 Derry City 1 - 1 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Derry City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Derry City Power 0
Shamrock Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.