Primera B · Sep 02, 2021 00:00

San Marcos de Arica
PWR 47
4 - 2
FT

Deportes Iquique
PWR 49
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: San Marcos de Arica to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 63%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense54
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.3
Attack74
Defense34
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.9
San Marcos de … Form DW
STABLE
Deportes Iquiq… Form DLDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS49%
Under 2.554%
San Marcos … Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Deportes Iq… Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
San Marcos de …
vs
0.93
Deportes Iquiq…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
San Marcos …
+12
Gap
#18
Deportes Iq…
WR 41% 56 pts WR 38% 12 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
San Marcos de A…3916815515156
Deportes Iquique8332171512
San Marcos de … 15.0%
Jun 16 San Mar… v Deporte… 2-2
Apr 25 San Mar… v Deporte… 1-2
Deportes Iquiq… 6.0%
Jun 16 Deporte… v San Mar… 2-2
Apr 25 Deporte… v San Mar… 1-2
Jan 24 Deporte… v Univers… 2-2
Jan 02 Deporte… v Everton… 1-0
Nov 23 Deporte… v Cobresal 0-0
Sep 10 Deporte… v Univers… 0-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Jun 16, 2021 Deportes Iqui… 2-2 San Marcos de…
Apr 25, 2021 Deportes Iqui… 1-2 San Marcos de…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.