Primera B · Jul 08, 2023 00:30

Deportes Iquique
PWR 49
2 - 1
FT

San Marcos de Arica
PWR 47
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-3 (10%) 0-2 (8%) 1-3 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityšŸ’” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack74
Defense34
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.9
Attack46
Defense54
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.3
Deportes Iquiq… Form LWLDL
STABLE
San Marcos de … Form WLWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS54%
Under 2.534%
Deportes Iq… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
San Marcos … Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Deportes Iquiq…
vs
3.50
San Marcos de …
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
Deportes Iq…
-12
Gap
#6
San Marcos …
WR 38% 12 pts WR 41% 56 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Deportes Iquique8332171512
San Marcos de A…3916815515156
Deportes Iquiq… 6.0%
Jun 26 Deporte… v San Mar… 0-4
Feb 17 Deporte… v San Mar… 2-3
Sep 02 Deporte… v San Mar… 4-2
Jun 16 Deporte… v San Mar… 2-2
Apr 25 Deporte… v San Mar… 1-2
Jan 24 Deporte… v Univers… 2-2
Jan 02 Deporte… v Everton… 1-0
Nov 23 Deporte… v Cobresal 0-0
Sep 10 Deporte… v Univers… 0-2
San Marcos de … 14.0%
Jun 26 San Mar… v Deporte… 0-4
Feb 17 San Mar… v Deporte… 2-3
Sep 02 San Mar… v Deporte… 4-2
Jun 16 San Mar… v Deporte… 2-2
Apr 25 San Mar… v Deporte… 1-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Jun 26, 2023 Deportes Iqui… 0-4 San Marcos de…
Feb 17, 2023 San Marcos de… 2-3 Deportes Iqui…
Sep 02, 2021 San Marcos de… 4-2 Deportes Iqui…
Jun 16, 2021 Deportes Iqui… 2-2 San Marcos de…
Apr 25, 2021 Deportes Iqui… 1-2 San Marcos de…
Key Factors
San Marcos de Arica in strong form (3W in last 5)
Deportes Iquique struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.