AI Match Insights
Paranaense - 1 Feb 07, 2026
Maringá
HomeVS
23:00
Aruko Sports
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Maringá Win
Draw
Aruko Sports Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
Combined: 47%
Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.36 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maringá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Aruko Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Maringá Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 02 | Maringá vs Volta Red… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Maringá vs Aruko Spo… | 0-5 |
| Jan 27 | Maringá vs Sampaio C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Maringá vs Andraus B… | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Maringá vs Bangu | 1-2 |
| Jan 20 | Maringá vs Aruko Spo… | 1-4 |
| Jan 18 | Maringá vs Portugues… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Maringá vs Azuriz | 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | Maringá vs Vasco DA … | 4-2 |
| Jan 13 | Maringá vs Coritiba | 0-1 |
Aruko Sports Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 01 | Aruko Spo… vs Maringá | 0-5 |
| Jan 24 | Aruko Spo… vs Athletico… | 4-1 |
| Jan 20 | Aruko Spo… vs Maringá | 1-4 |
| Jan 17 | Aruko Spo… vs Londrina | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… | 3-0 |
| Jan 11 | Aruko Spo… vs Cascavel | 0-1 |
| Jan 06 | Aruko Spo… vs Independi… | 2-0 |
| Jul 19 | Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… | 3-1 |
| Jul 12 | Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… | 2-2 |
| May 05 | Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Maringá struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- Aruko Sports struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 01, 2026 | Aruko Sports | 0 - 5 | Maringá | Paranaense - 1 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Aruko Sports | 1 - 4 | Maringá | Paranaense - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Maringá | 3 - 0 | Aruko Sports | Paranaense - 1 |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Aruko Sports | 1 - 1 | Maringá | Paranaense - 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Maringá Power
0
Aruko Sports Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Maringá Position+1
Position Gap6
Aruko Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.