AI Match Insights
Primera Division Jan 31, 2026
Diriangén
HomeVS
21:00
UNAN Managua
AwayAI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Diriangén Win
Draw
UNAN Managua Win
Home Win
(63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
Combined: 65%
Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Diriangén Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
UNAN Managua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Diriangén Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24 | Diriangén vs Jalapa | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | Diriangén vs Rancho Sa… | 0-4 |
| Dec 21 | Diriangén vs Managua FC | 1-0 |
| Dec 14 | Diriangén vs Managua FC | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Diriangén vs H&H Export | 5-0 |
| Nov 30 | Diriangén vs H&H Export | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Diriangén vs Managua FC | 1-1 |
| Nov 06 | Diriangén vs Real Madr… | 1-2 |
| Nov 03 | Diriangén vs H&H Export | 5-0 |
| Oct 26 | Diriangén vs Real Este… | 0-0 |
UNAN Managua Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26 | UNAN Mana… vs H&H Export | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | UNAN Mana… vs Walter Fe… | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | UNAN Mana… vs H&H Export | 3-1 |
| Nov 05 | UNAN Mana… vs Managua FC | 0-3 |
| Nov 01 | UNAN Mana… vs Rancho Sa… | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | UNAN Mana… vs Real Madr… | 2-1 |
| Oct 23 | UNAN Mana… vs Jalapa | 5-0 |
| Oct 20 | UNAN Mana… vs Diriangén | 2-1 |
| Oct 14 | UNAN Mana… vs Matagalpa | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | UNAN Mana… vs Real Este… | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Diriangén in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- UNAN Managua struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | Diriangén | 2 - 1 | UNAN Managua | Primera Divisi… |
| Jul 27, 2025 | UNAN Managua | 1 - 4 | Diriangén | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Diriangén to win (78% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 98
Diriangén Power
0
UNAN Managua Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Diriangén Position+8
Position Gap9
UNAN Managua Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.