AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Feb 01, 2026

Jalapa

Home
VS
23:00

Real Estelí

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Jalapa Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Real Estelí Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.83 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Jalapa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Jalapa vs Diriangén 2-1
Jan 17 Jalapa vs Managua FC 2-0
Nov 16 Jalapa vs Walter Fe… 3-1
Nov 06 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 4-0
Nov 01 Jalapa vs Real Madr… 1-2
Oct 26 Jalapa vs Matagalpa 3-0
Oct 23 Jalapa vs UNAN Mana… 5-0
Oct 19 Jalapa vs Real Este… 1-1
Oct 15 Jalapa vs H&H Export 2-2
Sep 27 Jalapa vs Diriangén 0-0
Real Estelí Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Real Este… vs Managua FC 6-3
Jan 17 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 0-3
Dec 07 Real Este… vs Managua FC 0-2
Dec 01 Real Este… vs Managua FC 0-2
Nov 28 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 2-1
Nov 23 Real Este… vs Matagalpa 1-0
Nov 07 Real Este… vs H&H Export 3-0
Nov 02 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 0-1
Oct 26 Real Este… vs Diriangén 0-0
Oct 23 Real Este… vs Managua FC 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jalapa in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Real Estelí in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2025 Jalapa 1 - 1 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Jul 27, 2025 Real Estelí 4 - 2 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Mar 29, 2025 Jalapa 1 - 2 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Feb 02, 2025 Real Estelí 1 - 2 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Nov 13, 2024 Jalapa 0 - 1 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Nov 07, 2024 Real Estelí 5 - 1 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Apr 03, 2024 Real Estelí 5 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Jan 27, 2024 Jalapa 2 - 0 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Sep 30, 2023 Jalapa 2 - 0 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Aug 05, 2023 Real Estelí 4 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jalapa Power 0
Real Estelí Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Jalapa Position

-4

Position Gap

2

Real Estelí Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.