Catarinense - 1 · Feb 01, 2026 21:00
Criciúma
PWR 35
Chapecoense
PWR 35
Criciúma
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Chapecoense
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Criciúma to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Criciúma Form
DWWDW
STABLE
Chapecoense Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS53%
Under 2.534%
Criciúma Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Chapecoense Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Criciúmavs
0.80
ChapecoenseDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings48%
Market46%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Criciúma-1
Gap#2
Chapecoense
WR 67% 11 pts
WR 33% 11 pts
Criciúma
16.0%
| Jan 25 | Criciúma v Brusque | 3-3 |
| Jan 23 | Criciúma v Camboriú | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Criciúma v Concórd… | 3-1 |
| Jan 15 | Criciúma v Joinvil… | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Criciúma v Avaí | 2-1 |
| Jan 07 | Criciúma v Marcíli… | 2-0 |
| Nov 16 | Criciúma v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | Criciúma v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Criciúma v Ferrovi… | 0-0 |
| Oct 27 | Criciúma v Joinvil… | 2-2 |
Chapecoense
18.0%
| Jan 28 | Chapeco… v Santos | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Chapeco… v Joinvil… | 6-0 |
| Jan 22 | Chapeco… v Avaí | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Chapeco… v Marcíli… | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Chapeco… v Concórd… | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Chapeco… v Camboriú | 2-0 |
| Jan 06 | Chapeco… v Brusque | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Chapeco… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Nov 15 | Chapeco… v Volta R… | 1-1 |
| Nov 10 | Chapeco… v América… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 07, 2025 | Criciúma | 2-0 | Chapecoense |
| May 04, 2025 | Chapecoense | 2-1 | Criciúma |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Chapecoense | 0-0 | Criciúma |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Criciúma | 2-0 | Chapecoense |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Criciúma | 1-2 | Chapecoense |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Chapecoense | 1-1 | Criciúma |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Chapecoense | 1-1 | Criciúma |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Criciúma | 2-0 | Chapecoense |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Chapecoense | 2-3 | Criciúma |
Key Factors
Criciúma in strong form (3W in last 5)
Chapecoense in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.