AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 08, 2026

Avaí

Home
VS
21:00

Camboriú

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Avaí Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Camboriú Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.54 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Avaí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Camboriú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Avaí Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Avaí vs Camboriú 1-2
Jan 25 Avaí vs Santa Cat… 3-1
Jan 22 Avaí vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Jan 18 Avaí vs Figueiren… 0-2
Jan 15 Avaí vs Carlos Re… 1-0
Jan 11 Avaí vs Criciúma 2-1
Jan 08 Avaí vs Barra 2-1
Nov 23 Avaí vs Botafogo 0-0
Nov 15 Avaí vs Remo 3-1
Nov 08 Avaí vs Vila Nova 2-2
Camboriú Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Camboriú vs Avaí 1-2
Jan 25 Camboriú vs Figueiren… 1-1
Jan 23 Camboriú vs Criciúma 1-2
Jan 17 Camboriú vs Carlos Re… 1-1
Jan 14 Camboriú vs Barra 1-0
Jan 11 Camboriú vs Chapecoen… 2-0
Jan 06 Camboriú vs Santa Cat… 2-2
Oct 14 Camboriú vs Tubarão 1-0
Oct 04 Camboriú vs Criciúma 3-3
Sep 27 Camboriú vs Caravaggio 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Avaí in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2026 Camboriú 1 - 2 Avaí Catarinense - 1
Jan 19, 2023 Avaí 3 - 0 Camboriú Catarinense - 1
Feb 17, 2022 Camboriú 1 - 0 Avaí Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Avaí to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Avaí Power 0
Camboriú Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Avaí Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Camboriú Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.