AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 08, 2026

Chapecoense

Home
VS
22:00

Criciúma

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Chapecoense Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Criciúma Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.27 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Criciúma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Chapecoense Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 1-2
Jan 28 Chapecoen… vs Santos 4-2
Jan 25 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 6-0
Jan 22 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 1-1
Jan 18 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Jan 14 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 1-2
Jan 11 Chapecoen… vs Camboriú 2-0
Jan 06 Chapecoen… vs Brusque 1-1
Nov 23 Chapecoen… vs Athletico… 1-0
Nov 15 Chapecoen… vs Volta Red… 1-1
Criciúma Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Criciúma vs Chapecoen… 1-2
Jan 25 Criciúma vs Brusque 3-3
Jan 23 Criciúma vs Camboriú 1-2
Jan 19 Criciúma vs Concórdia 3-1
Jan 15 Criciúma vs Joinville 0-0
Jan 11 Criciúma vs Avaí 2-1
Jan 07 Criciúma vs Marcílio … 2-0
Nov 16 Criciúma vs Botafogo 2-0
Nov 09 Criciúma vs Athletico… 1-0
Nov 01 Criciúma vs Ferroviár… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chapecoense in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2026 Criciúma 1 - 2 Chapecoense Catarinense - 1
Sep 07, 2025 Criciúma 2 - 0 Chapecoense Serie B
May 04, 2025 Chapecoense 2 - 1 Criciúma Serie B
Feb 01, 2025 Chapecoense 0 - 0 Criciúma Catarinense - 1
Mar 02, 2024 Criciúma 2 - 0 Chapecoense Catarinense - 1
Oct 14, 2023 Criciúma 1 - 2 Chapecoense Serie B
Jun 24, 2023 Chapecoense 1 - 1 Criciúma Serie B
Jan 22, 2023 Chapecoense 1 - 1 Criciúma Catarinense - 1
Sep 25, 2022 Criciúma 2 - 0 Chapecoense Serie B
Jun 11, 2022 Chapecoense 2 - 3 Criciúma Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chapecoense Power 0
Criciúma Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Chapecoense Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Criciúma Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.