Catarinense - 1 · Feb 09, 2026 23:00

MarcĂ­lio Dias
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Carlos Renaux
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form WWLLL
STABLE
Carlos Renaux Form WLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.518%
BTTS16%
Under 2.582%
Marcílio Di… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Carlos Rena… Goals
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
MarcĂ­lio Dias
vs
0.26
Carlos Renaux
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Marcílio Di…
+1
Gap
#6
Carlos Rena…
WR 33% 6 pts WR 33% 4 pts
MarcĂ­lio Dias 8.0%
Feb 03 Marcíli… v Joinvil… 2-4
Jan 25 Marcíli… v Carlos … 2-4
Jan 22 Marcíli… v Barra 0-1
Jan 18 Marcíli… v Chapeco… 1-0
Jan 15 Marcíli… v Santa C… 0-1
Jan 10 Marcíli… v Figueir… 1-0
Jan 07 Marcíli… v Criciúma 2-0
Nov 09 Marcíli… v Figueir… 2-1
Nov 02 Marcíli… v Figueir… 3-0
Oct 25 Marcíli… v Santa C… 1-1
Carlos Renaux 10.0%
Feb 02 Carlos … v Figueir… 1-0
Jan 25 Carlos … v Marcíli… 2-4
Jan 21 Carlos … v Joinvil… 0-1
Jan 17 Carlos … v Camboriú 1-1
Jan 15 Carlos … v Avaí 1-0
Jan 11 Carlos … v Brusque 1-0
Jan 08 Carlos … v Concórd… 0-1
Oct 13 Carlos … v Nação 1-1
Oct 05 Carlos … v Blumenau 2-1
Oct 01 Carlos … v Joinvil… 2-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Jan 25, 2026 Carlos Renaux 2-4 MarcĂ­lio Dias
Key Factors
MarcĂ­lio Dias struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.