AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 22, 2026

Figueirense

Home
VS
18:00

MarcĂ­lio Dias

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Figueirense Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.26 - 1.02
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.0
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Figueirense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Figueiren… vs Carlos Re… 1-0
Jan 31 Figueiren… vs Corí-Sabbá 3-1
Jan 25 Figueiren… vs Camboriú 1-1
Jan 23 Figueiren… vs TEC 1-0
Jan 22 Figueiren… vs Concórdia 1-0
Jan 18 Figueiren… vs Avaí 0-2
Jan 17 Figueiren… vs Athletico… 1-0
Jan 15 Figueiren… vs Brusque 2-1
Jan 10 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Jan 10 Figueiren… vs Fluminense 1-2
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Marcílio … vs Joinville 2-4
Jan 25 Marcílio … vs Carlos Re… 2-4
Jan 22 Marcílio … vs Barra 0-1
Jan 18 Marcílio … vs Chapecoen… 1-0
Jan 15 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 0-1
Jan 10 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 1-0
Jan 07 Marcílio … vs Criciúma 2-0
Nov 09 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 2-1
Nov 02 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 3-0
Oct 25 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • MarcĂ­lio Dias struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 10, 2026 Figueirense 1 - 0 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Nov 09, 2025 Marcílio Dias 2 - 1 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Nov 02, 2025 Figueirense 3 - 0 Marcílio Dias Copa Santa Cat…
Oct 04, 2025 Figueirense 2 - 2 Marcílio Dias Copa Santa Cat…
Sep 15, 2025 Marcílio Dias 1 - 2 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Feb 22, 2025 MarcĂ­lio Dias 2 - 1 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Oct 16, 2024 Marcílio Dias 0 - 0 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Feb 22, 2024 MarcĂ­lio Dias 2 - 0 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Oct 21, 2023 Figueirense 2 - 2 Marcílio Dias Copa Santa Cat…
Feb 09, 2023 Figueirense 2 - 1 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Figueirense Power 0
MarcĂ­lio Dias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Figueirense Position

0

Position Gap

5

MarcĂ­lio Dias Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.