AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Jul 16, 2022

Korona Kielce

Home
VS
18:00

Legia Warszawa

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Korona Kielce Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Legia Warszawa Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.74 - 2.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 2.1 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Korona Kielce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Legia Warszawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Korona Kielce Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 08 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 0-2
Sep 22 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 4-3
Jul 14 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 3-1
Jun 26 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 2-1
Jun 09 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 1-1
May 31 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 1-4
Legia Warszawa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 0-1
Apr 02 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 2-1
Oct 24 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 4-1
Oct 03 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 3-1
Jun 30 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 3-2
Apr 21 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 0-1
Jan 30 Legia War… vs Pogoń Sie… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Korona Kielce struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Legia Warszawa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Korona Kielce to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Korona Kielce Power 0
Legia Warszawa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Korona Kielce Position

+10

Position Gap

17

Legia Warszawa Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.