AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Aug 15, 2024

Alianza Atlético

Home
VS
18:00

Cusco

Away
AI Predictions 38.4% Confidence
Alianza Atlético Win
34.5%
Draw
27.1%
Cusco Win
38.4%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.41 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.6 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alianza Atlético Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Cusco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Alianza Atlético Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Alianza A… vs Cusco 2-0
Jul 22 Alianza A… vs Cusco 2-0
Feb 19 Alianza A… vs Cusco 2-1
Aug 08 Alianza A… vs Cusco 3-0
Cusco Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Cusco vs Sport Boys 3-1
Apr 21 Cusco vs Sporting … 2-0
Mar 07 Cusco vs Alianza A… 2-0
Feb 24 Cusco vs Sport Boys 3-0
Sep 29 Cusco vs Sporting … 4-1
Jul 22 Cusco vs Alianza A… 2-0
May 21 Cusco vs Sporting … 3-2
Feb 19 Cusco vs Alianza A… 2-1
Aug 22 Cusco vs Sporting … 4-1
Aug 08 Cusco vs Alianza A… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cusco in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Alianza Atlético struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 07, 2024 Cusco 2 - 0 Alianza Atlético Primera Divisi…
Jul 22, 2023 Alianza Atlético 2 - 0 Cusco Primera Divisi…
Feb 19, 2023 Cusco 2 - 1 Alianza Atlético Primera Divisi…
Aug 08, 2021 Cusco 3 - 0 Alianza Atlético Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alianza Atlético to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alianza Atlético Power 0
Cusco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Alianza Atlético Position

+9

Position Gap

14

Cusco Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.