AI Match Insights

Primera División Jul 16, 2022

Caracas FC

Home
VS
21:00

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Away
AI Predictions 48.3% Confidence
Caracas FC Win
48.3%
Draw
24.3%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win
27.3%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.64 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caracas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Caracas FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 0-0
Estudiantes de Merida FC Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
May 07 Estudiant… vs Caracas FC 0-0
Mar 04 Estudiant… vs Zamora 2-0
Oct 22 Estudiant… vs Zamora 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 07, 2022 Estudiantes de Meri… 0 - 0 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caracas FC Power 0
Estudiantes de Merida FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Caracas FC Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Estudiantes de Merida FC Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.