AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Sep 18, 2022

Tigres FC

Home
VS
01:15

Popayan

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Tigres FC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Popayan Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.53 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Popayan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Tigres FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 1-0
Jul 30 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 1-1
Mar 26 Tigres FC vs Popayan 2-0
Feb 26 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 0-2
Feb 23 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 1-1
Feb 13 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 3-1
Feb 09 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 2-0
Oct 12 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 2-0
Sep 28 Tigres FC vs Popayan 1-0
Feb 28 Tigres FC vs Popayan 1-1
Popayan Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Popayan vs Quindio 1-0
Mar 26 Popayan vs Tigres FC 2-0
Feb 28 Popayan vs Quindio 1-0
Sep 28 Popayan vs Tigres FC 1-0
Feb 28 Popayan vs Tigres FC 1-1
Feb 16 Popayan vs Quindio 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Popayan in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 26, 2022 Popayan 2 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 28, 2021 Popayan 1 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Feb 28, 2021 Tigres FC 1 - 1 Popayan Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tigres FC to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres FC Power 0
Popayan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres FC Position

+8

Position Gap

15

Popayan Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.