AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Sep 15, 2024

Tigres FC

Home
VS
20:00

Popayan

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Tigres FC Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Popayan Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.96 - 1.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Popayan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Tigres FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 18 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 2-2
Aug 12 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 1-0
Jun 01 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 0-1
May 28 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 4-1
May 16 Tigres FC vs Jaguares 3-0
May 10 Tigres FC vs Jaguares 5-3
Apr 24 Tigres FC vs Cúcuta De… 1-0
Apr 13 Tigres FC vs Popayan 2-0
Feb 26 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 2-3
Feb 20 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 0-1
Popayan Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Popayan vs Real Soac… 0-2
May 02 Popayan vs Quindio 2-1
Apr 13 Popayan vs Tigres FC 2-0
Mar 17 Popayan vs Real Soac… 1-0
Oct 11 Popayan vs Quindio 2-3
Sep 16 Popayan vs Tigres FC 0-1
Sep 01 Popayan vs Real Soac… 1-0
Aug 24 Popayan vs Patriotas… 0-0
May 13 Popayan vs Quindio 1-2
Apr 08 Popayan vs Tigres FC 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Popayan in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Tigres FC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2024 Popayan 2 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 16, 2023 Tigres FC 0 - 1 Popayan Primera B
Apr 08, 2023 Popayan 1 - 2 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 18, 2022 Tigres FC 3 - 2 Popayan Primera B
Mar 26, 2022 Popayan 2 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 28, 2021 Popayan 1 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Feb 28, 2021 Tigres FC 1 - 1 Popayan Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tigres FC to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres FC Power 0
Popayan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres FC Position

+8

Position Gap

15

Popayan Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.