AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Panameña de Fútbol Apr 14, 2024

Deportivo Universitario

Home
VS
23:15

Herrera

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Deportivo Universitario Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Herrera Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.72 - 1.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.2
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Universitario Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Herrera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Deportivo Universitario Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-0
Feb 18 Deportivo… vs Veraguas 1-1
Feb 04 Deportivo… vs Herrera 3-3
Jan 20 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-1
Oct 22 Deportivo… vs Independi… 4-0
Oct 15 Deportivo… vs Herrera 1-1
Sep 23 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-1
Jul 29 Deportivo… vs Herrera 0-1
Mar 26 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-1
Oct 09 Deportivo… vs Veraguas 3-1
Herrera Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 17 Herrera vs San Franc… 2-2
Feb 06 Herrera vs Independi… 1-1
Feb 04 Herrera vs Deportivo… 3-3
Oct 19 Herrera vs San Franc… 3-1
Oct 15 Herrera vs Deportivo… 1-1
Oct 08 Herrera vs Independi… 4-2
Jul 29 Herrera vs Deportivo… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2024 Herrera 3 - 3 Deportivo Universit… Liga Panameña …
Oct 15, 2023 Herrera 1 - 1 Deportivo Universit… Liga Panameña …
Jul 29, 2023 Deportivo Universit… 0 - 1 Herrera Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Universitario to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Universitario Power 0
Herrera Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Deportivo Universitario Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Herrera Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.