AI Match Insights

Liga Panameña de Fútbol Aug 06, 2024

Sporting San Miguelito

Home
VS
01:30

CD Arabe Unido

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Sporting San Miguelito Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
CD Arabe Unido Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.86 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting San Miguelito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
CD Arabe Unido Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Sporting San Miguelito Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Sporting … vs CD Arabe … 1-1
Apr 16 Sporting … vs Plaza Ama… 1-2
Apr 14 Sporting … vs Tauro FC 2-1
Mar 05 Sporting … vs Independi… 1-0
Feb 04 Sporting … vs Tauro FC 1-0
Jan 28 Sporting … vs Plaza Ama… 1-1
Jan 21 Sporting … vs CD Arabe … 2-2
Dec 02 Sporting … vs Independi… 2-1
Nov 25 Sporting … vs Independi… 2-2
Oct 14 Sporting … vs CD Arabe … 0-0
CD Arabe Unido Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 CD Arabe … vs Tauro FC 3-1
Apr 27 CD Arabe … vs Sporting … 1-1
Apr 20 CD Arabe … vs Alianza FC 0-2
Apr 16 CD Arabe … vs Tauro FC 2-0
Mar 10 CD Arabe … vs UMECIT 0-0
Feb 18 CD Arabe … vs Alianza FC 2-2
Jan 28 CD Arabe … vs Tauro FC 0-2
Jan 21 CD Arabe … vs Sporting … 2-2
Oct 14 CD Arabe … vs Sporting … 0-0
Oct 08 CD Arabe … vs Alianza FC 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting San Miguelito in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2024 CD Arabe Unido 1 - 1 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Jan 21, 2024 Sporting San Miguel… 2 - 2 CD Arabe Unido Liga Panameña …
Oct 14, 2023 CD Arabe Unido 0 - 0 Sporting San Miguel… Liga Panameña …
Jul 30, 2023 Sporting San Miguel… 2 - 1 CD Arabe Unido Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting San Miguelito Power 0
CD Arabe Unido Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Sporting San Miguelito Position

-1

Position Gap

4

CD Arabe Unido Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.