AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Apr 06, 2022

Tuna Luso

Home
VS
12:30

Águia de Marabá

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Tuna Luso Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Águia de Marabá Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 4.50 - 1.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.5
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Águia de Marabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Tuna Luso Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Feb 06 Tuna Luso vs Amazônia … 2-4
Jan 30 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 0-3
Jan 26 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-1
May 23 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-1
May 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-2
Apr 24 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-0
Feb 28 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Águia de Marabá Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 3-2
Mar 06 Águia de … vs Remo 1-1
Jan 26 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 1-1
May 05 Águia de … vs Remo 1-0
May 01 Águia de … vs Remo 1-3
Apr 18 Águia de … vs Remo 1-1
Feb 28 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 3-2
Aug 02 Águia de … vs Remo 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tuna Luso struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2022 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Jan 26, 2022 Águia de Marabá 1 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Feb 28, 2021 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tuna Luso Power 0
Águia de Marabá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Tuna Luso Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Águia de Marabá Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.