AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Nov 30, 2024

Étoile du Sahel

Home
VS
13:00

AS Gabes

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Étoile du Sahel Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
AS Gabes Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.78 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Étoile du Sahel Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
AS Gabes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Étoile du Sahel Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Étoile du… vs ES Zarzis 2-3
Jun 19 Étoile du… vs Club Afri… 0-0
Jun 15 Étoile du… vs CS Sfaxien 1-2
Apr 28 Étoile du… vs Club Afri… 0-0
Apr 13 Étoile du… vs CS Sfaxien 0-0
Dec 14 Étoile du… vs Club Afri… 0-1
Nov 05 Étoile du… vs US Ben Gu… 0-0
Sep 21 Étoile du… vs Club Afri… 1-1
Aug 29 Étoile du… vs US Ben Gu… 1-0
Jun 27 Étoile du… vs US Ben Gu… 0-0
AS Gabes Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 AS Gabes vs ES Tunis 2-1
Oct 27 AS Gabes vs Stade Tun… 2-1
Oct 27 AS Gabes vs Baath Bou… 0-1
Sep 14 AS Gabes vs Olympique… 1-0
Apr 30 AS Gabes vs AS Marsa 2-0
Dec 10 AS Gabes vs AS Marsa 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AS Gabes struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Étoile du Sahel to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Étoile du Sahel Power 0
AS Gabes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Étoile du Sahel Position

+7

Position Gap

16

AS Gabes Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.