Ligue 1 · Sep 02, 2023 15:00

US Monastirienne
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

AS Marsa
PWR 35
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: US Monastirienne to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
HOME_FORMDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
US Monastirien… Form WWWDW
UP
AS Marsa Form LWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS15%
Under 2.568%
US Monastir… Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
AS Marsa Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
US Monastirien…
vs
0.20
AS Marsa
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
US Monastir…
+5
Gap
#10
AS Marsa
WR 63% 30 pts WR 25% 22 pts
US Monastirien… 18.0%
Jun 26 US Mona… v Olympiq… 1-3
Jun 04 US Mona… v ES Tunis 3-2
May 08 US Mona… v Olympiq… 3-0
Apr 09 US Mona… v ES Tunis 1-1
Jan 30 US Mona… v AS Soli… 2-0
Jan 19 US Mona… v Olympiq… 0-1
Oct 29 US Mona… v AS Soli… 0-2
Oct 20 US Mona… v Olympiq… 0-0
May 26 US Mona… v ES Tunis 3-2
Apr 10 US Mona… v Olympiq… 0-0
AS Marsa 10.0%
May 07 AS Marsa v JS Kair… 1-0
Apr 30 AS Marsa v AS Gabes 2-0
Dec 20 AS Marsa v JS Kair… 1-1
Dec 10 AS Marsa v AS Gabes 0-0
Key Factors
US Monastirienne in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.